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Why Black Magic will die, part 0
  • 60 Replies sorted by
  • That will be interesting, considering they can't fill demand for the cameras with almost no money spent on marketing. Chasing the average consumer is where they'll get into trouble. You've got it backwards.

    That's an over-saturated market dominated by manufacturers adept at creating dumbed down product and consumers that don't want to think about how they use the product. These cameras have proven too much for a lot of enthusiasts and prosumers. They're positioned where the big dogs have nothing and don't "get it".

    You've got it backwards. You're trying to concoct a self-fulfilling prophesy.

    If they're not taking a loss per unit, if they're selling as fast as they can be made then you don't have a chart or graph that would represent anything but making the mistake of being greedy, moving into a market they've never catered to before (they don't sell consumer anything).

    It's thinking like that that nearly sunk Apple in the '90s when Jobs made the mistake of hiring a soft drink executive to run the company, getting the boot. Sculley made the mistake of wanting to increase their market share and go after unsophisticated customers that had never been part of their demographic, fracturing their product line into meaningless, redundant, overlapping, bland models (see: consumer cameras), chasing more customers willing to spend less. That's just simple capitalist thinking without passion for what the company actually is and their core customers.

    Go on with your exercise though.

  • "Joe Public" can eat AVCHD. He already has dozens of cameras to choose from. BMD should ignore this demographic entirely.

    In few posts I'll show you with numbers why they can't ignore average Joe. Unfortunately.

  • @Mimirsan "Joe Public" can eat AVCHD. He already has dozens of cameras to choose from. BMD should ignore this demographic entirely.

  • @jazzroy Yeah, I disregard the crop modes entirely.

  • @BurnetRhoades

    50D does 1080P RAW in crop mode (which means 3x, similar to BMPCC). In crop mode there's almost no aliasing/moirè and it holds perfectly until you fill the card.

    Drawbacks are no audio and the enormous amount of storage we need.

  • I think that BM will and is having a big impact in the film, commercial and advertising video world. This in itself has been a niche compared to any consumer market and that is why all the big manufacturers have tried to keep price high. They know that it is a very small market and that you cannot think that it will expand that much.

    Somehow what is interesting with BM is that they look more like the dslr market in their approach. Give professional tool to mr Joe amateur. How many amateur have bought the nikon d800 for example. I am sure that their are much more amateur that have bought d800 than professional. Look at the amount of posters on site like Dpreview and most of them unable to take a good photos with D800 or 5d mark3.

    The Bm pocket camera is a good example. Even if it not mature enough now, in 2 to 3 years it could have a true m43 sensor with autofocus etc. so that it could have the whole line-up of M43 lens and be more appealing to the more passionate amateurs and for the price they are selling every pro will have one in his bag.

    Now will they have 2 to 3 years. If one of the big manufacturer, decides just to put some 10 bit high bitrate log codec or RAW in their DSLR. Most of them already have sensor tech that can match or beat BM. A 13.7 stop apsc Nikon D7200 with a 10 bit log or RAW would put a lot of pressure on the BM cameras. But this remain to be seen if it will happen before BM product really matures.

  • As a "non pro" and a hobbyist I personally think the BM line are niche products. For example the BMCC/BMPCC Great for enthusiasts who want to cock about with 2k/4k/raw. not so great for joe public. And joe public is where the moneys at. So maybe BM will need to make consumer based products. btw Reids opinion that the BMCC/BMPCC will kill the video modes that the other companies impliment (canon/sony/panasonic etc) is just his own.

  • Which sub-$1000 Canon camera can shoot full 1080P raw? Used 50D and 7D don't (going by Andrew's recent comparison, the 7D doesn't have the oomph in its data rate).

    Also, to be completely fair, even if BMD weren't selling the cameras faster than it could make them, like they are, they're a company with decades of broadcast experience producing all sorts of other equipment, still, that's been successful enough to allow them this little experiment. If the cameras were a flop they could simply stop making them and move on, since they're currently only two of the products they make.

    Plus, they're selling like they are with very little traditional marketing. It's a grass roots phenomenon of VideoToaster proportions.

  • to be COMPLETELY fair, this topic shouldn't compare BMD to any other camera manufacture, because BMD has 2 years under their belt making cameras, while the rest of them 20+ years? Not to mention BMD throws everything that people were wanting into an affordable camera and leave the rest up to you. They give us something better than 8bit, uncompressed, and a higher resolution than 1080 and people try to find things wrong with it? Sure there will be growing pains and bumps in the road with them, even Panasonic isn't on point when it comes to marketing and distribution (gh3).

    Some of their business decisions have been a little odd, but the people let them hear about it, and from what I can tell BMD listens to the customers, they just aren't 110% when it comes to being "a solid camera manufacture"

    I can honestly say the BMCC isn't for everyone, not even close. It's an affordable camera because of the other "hidden cost" SSDs, a computer able to handle RAW, storage, microphone, lens/speed booster option, rigs rigs and more rigs to pick from. In a way, BMD made a "camera"...."film/cinema camera" as they advertise it, in the same fashion of how traditional cameras that shot on film were. Mics were not built in, lights were used in "low light"(not depending on the camera being able to see in the dark), you can't delete film, and so on....

    The only thing I can see hurting BMD the most is the MagicLantern buzz and how it's an even more affordable way to shoot raw video. You can go to walmart and buy a camera that shoots raw video...see why it might be hard to compete with that? lol

    I think this topic should closed or be put on pause for 5 years, just to see what happens. Lets see if Canon eventually conforms to lower pricing...It's going to be hard for them to sell $30,000 cameras when ML is turning $3000 cameras into $50,000 cameras. Keep in mind BMD probably didn't realize their camera would boom like it did, especially with other "near future" affordable raw option on the horizon (bolex and so on)

    Time will tell everything, no need to try and analyze every situation. When you watch a movie, do you really want to know how it ends in the middle, or would you rather be completely blown away like "WHAT THE..." Before it's all said and done Apple may be king of video cameras, with the help of GoPro or whoever.

  • more than 700 reads and 25 replies only for that title. :)

    @Vitaliy_Kiselev You are a marketing Jedi!!!

  • ROFL @ this thread. At least there can be no basis for discipline against trolling in this thread.

  • @vicharris - yep, the dooshnozzlery reigns supreme over there.

  • I think "marketing reasons" is VK's way of saying that he made the title intentionally vague and catchy in order to get people to click on it. :)

  • Anyway when will we know this "marketing reasons"? Is there something to find out, that is good for us? Thanks

  • Maybe, but cameras are just a small department of BlackMagic.

    Camera department could also die tomorrow without affecting BM's global stability in a unrecoverable way. Their strength is on other hardware/software.

    They are pushing things hard on camera, but they do so ONLY because other departments cover their shoulders.

    So, I think BM will not die, whatever they will achieve or not with camera sales.

  • Maybe? http://www.43rumors.com/ft4-panasonic-4k-mft-camera-coming-in-2014/comment-page-1/#comment-438064

    (Yes, i'm going crazy, they say it will cost much. My poor pockets...)

  • I would bet that Vitaliy is wrong. And I have strong reasons for claiming it.

  • I guess Vitaliy found something spectacular in the GH3, like RAW recording to DNxHD or how to turn the flash into a continous light for video ;)

  • Hmmmmmmmmmmmm - I don't understand. Vitaliy - you have a new camera to market to us as a contender? SO if they die - who will live he he he

  • No pink model?

  • iPhone 7 has interchangeable lens mount too! ;-)

  • What?!! iphone 6 has built in 4K Cinema Cam??!! :)

  • 'leans back in chair'

    Oh boy, this oughta be good!

    'eats a handful of popcorn'