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What do we know about the novel coronavirus?
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  • The United States just reached 4 million reported coronavirus cases

    • 0 to 1 million cases: 99 days
    • 1 to 2 million cases: 43 days
    • 2 to 3 million cases: 28 days
    • 3 to 4 million cases: 15 days

    US is expecting to reach 100 million cases within late October-November.

    Whole medical infrastructure will be shut down since September.

  • As many as 76,000 small businesses in New York City – a third of the 230,000 citywide – may never reopen after forced to close during the COVID-19 lockdown, business leaders have warned.

    It's a pity, but only beginning, up to 90% of small businesses will be wiped out. With owners and workers forced to do low paid and low qualification work.

  • Mordor news

    Our central bank now expect consumption to fall 6,2–7,2% YoY in 2020, but this is if coronavirus won't have any rise in next months (that is fully unreal scenery), and also without proper food prices inflation calc.

    Independent expectations are 20-25% consumption fall in food and common consumer products sector and up to 50-70% inb services and premium consumer products.

    Around 50-70% of small businesses won't make it till 2020 end.

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  • Talked to some US guys I know related to small business.

    According to them situation is very bad and with second wave coming owners have no idea how to keep going, many think about closure.

  • Brazil, reopening and huge issues

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  • Trump fully broke

    On Monday, the Department of Health and Human Services announced an agreement to secure large supplies of the drug remdesivir for the United States from Gilead Sciences through September, allowing American hospitals to purchase the drug in amounts allocated by HHS and state health departments.

    “President Trump has struck an amazing deal to ensure Americans have access to the first authorized therapeutic for COVID-19,” said HHS Secretary Alex Azar. “To the extent possible, we want to ensure that any American patient who needs remdesivir can get it. The Trump Administration is doing everything in our power to learn more about life-saving therapeutics for COVID-19 and secure access to these options for the American people.”

    HHS has secured more than 500,000 treatment courses of the drug for American hospitals through September. This represents 100 percent of Gilead’s projected production for July (94,200 treatment courses), 90 percent of production in August (174,900 treatment courses), and 90 percent of production in September (232,800 treatment courses), in addition to an allocation for clinical trials. A treatment course of remdesivir is, on average, 6.25 vials.

    It is not 'amazing deal" as it is expensive and totally useless shit.

  • @Vitaliy_Kiselev

    Thanks for superb thread! Lots of useful info here.

  • Bill Gates: 'Pandemic Two' is coming and 'A Pathogen 'With A Higher Death Rate Would Be Picked'

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  • Spain’s coronavirus death toll could be nearly 60% more than the official total of 28,342, an investigation by Spanish daily newspaper El País has found.

    So, it is all reverse, much more hidden deaths and not more hidden cases.

  • Second wave slowly coming

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    Small businesses and malls started to talk about new closures round since August.

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  • Chinese researchers believe that it is not death that is major issue with COVID, but unrepairable lungs damage (fibrosis) that affects almost everyone who recovered from the illness.

    Contrary to flu that have almost no side effect until you have serious complication - COVID by itself damage lungs much more than any pneumonia.

  • Ancient smallpox had been weaker and with time became stronger and more deadly

    Humans have a notable capacity to withstand the ravages of infectious diseases. Smallpox killed millions of people but drove Jenner's invention of vaccination, which eventually led to the annihilation of this virus, declared in 1980. To investigate the history of smallpox, Mühlemann et al. obtained high-throughput shotgun sequencing data from 1867 human remains ranging from >31,000 to 150 years ago (see the Perspective by Alcamí). Thirteen positive samples emerged, 11 of which were northern European Viking Age people (6th to 7th century CE). Although the sequences were patchy and incomplete, four could be used to infer a phylogenetic tree. This showed distinct Viking Age lineages with multiple gene inactivations. The analysis pushes back the date of the earliest variola infection in humans by ∼1000 years and reveals the existence of a previously unknown virus clade.

    https://science.sciencemag.org/content/369/6502/eaaw8977

  • That makes no evolutionary sense. The virus wants the host to live longer, so the virus can live longer. Any parasite will ultimately become more infectious and less harmful.

  • @zcream

    The virus wants the host to live longer, so the virus can live longer.

    Virus is not living organism with brain.

    And as you touch natural selection and evolution of the virus it is more complex this is that article results shows.

    Some of the virus qualities that are very good for propagation can come with associated significant mortality increase.

    Take COVID, ability to attach to ACE2 receptors and invade cells such way is extremely advantageous as it is easy way that human orgamism for now can't prevent, but it also results in much higher unrepairable damage to host organism, as well as sometimes fully contontrollable spread and blood clotting. Big daage can be caused to parts of organism that are useless for virus (but happen to have same receptors).

  • Evolution is not related to the brain. It is a stochastic process. Each organism is capable of finite mutations. The mutations that persist are those that enable longer lives. Think of a linked list, and each node has a weight. Over a period of time, the mutation with greater weight will persist (weight related to probability of survival and reproduction). As such, any evolutionary process allows the persistence of features that allow survival and reproduction

  • Evolution is not related to the brain. It is a stochastic process.

    Evolution is complex process, but you told that " virus wants the host to live longer" and it is false claim that is spread among mass media.

    Each organism is capable of finite mutations. The mutations that persist are those that enable longer lives.

    No, mutations are not finite. And actually lot of significant changes in real DNA happens due to viruses and such and not just via mutations.

    The mutations that persist are those that enable longer lives.

    Nope. Mutations are random thing. Mutation can persist if it does not change much, or it does change a little and it does not matter or lot of other options (including some significant virulance increase), it is not that only something positive persist.

    And I did not see any serious science papers that tell that virus mutations target host health improvement and life prolongation.

    Over a period of time, the mutation with greater weight will persist (weight related to probability of survival and reproduction). As such, any evolutionary process allows the persistence of features that allow survival and reproduction

    And this is your own view on the thing.

  • Google knows something

    Google plans to keep 200,000 full-time and contract employees working remotely until at least July 2021.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/google-to-keep-employees-home-until-summer-2021-amid-coronavirus-pandemic-11595854201

  • It knows indeed

  • a judge in Seattle has ruled that the local news media must hand over unpublished protest photos to the police, who will use them in an ongoing investigation into the destruction of several police vehicles on May 30th.

    Chinese totalitarian state again ordered free journalists... oopsie daisy... small error.

  • Mordor news

    Statisticis fully does not match reality and citizens data.

    All mass media despite official masks mode promote not wearing masks and tell that anyone wearing them is idiot.

    Really staggering.

  • Very actual art

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  • Soon Aion from Carl Jung will become a reality.

    It’s sad but the truth.

  • On Vaccine hopes

    Chinese research shows в that in average number of antibodies drop 23 times after 3 months for more than 83% people who had been sick with COVID-19.

    None of coronavirus family viruses had working vaccine that could keep antibodies level for at least 4 weeks.

    Chinese research also shows that lungs damage will be much mroe severe with each new repeated coronavirus illness. As most damage occures exactly via immune system overreaction.

  • Soon Aion