Blog Tue, 21 Jan 20 07:59:59 -0700 Blog en-CA Big panic is small Japan Tue, 21 Jan 2020 07:29:16 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23407@/talks/discussions During one of recent Panasonic management meeting they had slide with camera market prediction for 2020.

Total market fall can reach 35% in case of "normal market development" and reach 50% in case of "conflict or economic issues" (later case is being shown as around 30% probability).

Panasonic m43 bodies are planned to fall around 20% and will have two round discounts. Nothing about GH6 release had been on slide.

Panasonic m43 lenses are expected to fall 30-35%, some of models will no longer be produced. Panasonic will gradually cut m43 lenses manufacturing, slowly.

Panasonic L mount bodies sales had two numbers - one that will be present by PR and in PDFs for public - around 10% fall, and another number is more realistic 40% fall in case of no further price cuts or up to 25% in case of another 30% price cut for both models.

Panasonic L mount lenses sales are very bad already, 0% number will be public and real number is expected to be 20% (due to very small base!). Price cuts for L mount lenses are discussed, but same as with L mount bodies in 2019 it faces strong opposition from older managers.

2020 can be also first year where we'll see big layoffs and relocations in Panasonic departments related to cameras, lenses and camcorders (including pro cameras department!). Panasonic will try to mask this making most of this during Olympics.

Cameras sales: December Japan cameras sales Mon, 20 Jan 2020 10:58:20 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23402@/talks/discussions Map Camera Sales in December

New cameras

  1. Fujifilm X-Pro3
  2. Nikon Z50
  3. Sony α7 III
  4. Fujifilm X-T30
  5. Fujifilm X-T3
  6. Sony α7R IV
  7. Sigma fp
  8. Sony α6600
  9. Sony RX100 VII
  10. Olympus OM-D E-M5 Mark III

Used cameras

  1. Sony α7R III
  2. Sony α7 III
  3. Sony α7 II
  4. Sony α7R II
  5. Nikon D500
  6. Fujifilm X-T3
  7. Sony α6400
  8. Canon EOS 7D Mark II
  9. Nikon D750
  10. Nikon Z6
Capitalism: HP Instant Ink subscription program for injet printers Mon, 20 Jan 2020 09:47:12 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23398@/talks/discussions image


Scam is smart - first hike inkjet cartridge price, next offer special subscription plan for lower price, and cut printer remotely if people do not pay you monthly fee. Big profit.

iFixIt became degenerates Sun, 19 Jan 2020 09:21:25 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23395@/talks/discussions

Now all that matters for repair is how easy is to remove or unscrew something.

Does not matter that you can't get part to replace defective one, prices of replacement parts (relative to device price) also does not matter, availability of all main chips on boards, batteries availability and so on.

Like Mac Pro 2019 got 9/10 while being completely unrepairable mess (unless you are large Apple service center) consisting only from proprietary parts that you won't be able to use anywhere else (including next Mac Pro!).

Capitalism: Computer market monopolization continue Sun, 19 Jan 2020 09:15:50 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23394@/talks/discussions image

Market share of top vendors grow, while all others are shrinking.
All thanks for exclusive contracts and non standard prices (no one of top 5 gets CPUs or chipsets for announced pricing all use private contracts).

Capitalism: Heavy JS and bloated browers are not accident Sun, 19 Jan 2020 08:42:59 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23393@/talks/discussions Got some random talk about all major web sites architecture, where they almost double JS usage each year, add more big JS frameworks and Alphabet on their side constantly bloat Chrome features and memory usage.

As my source told - main reason for this is that investors and banks oversee big sites and have clear incentives for them to use bloated solutions and help finance lot of young inexperienced developers.

This people are responsible for around 30-40% of software related reasons to upgrade mobile phone now.

So big Apple and Alphabet investors are acting from two sides - making sites slow and in turn also benefit from any of your new smartphone purchases.

Capitalism: Total wealth by country Sat, 18 Jan 2020 03:06:41 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23387@/talks/discussions image

Future of powerful notebooks Fri, 17 Jan 2020 13:55:18 -0700 Vitaliy_Kiselev 23386@/talks/discussions image