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US: Oil self-reliance myth
  • Vitaliy_KiselevVitaliy_Kiselev

    image

    Same data in slightly different view:

    image

    Small bump:

    image

    And cost of this bump is far from small, as oil is much harder to get now:

    image

    Projections:

    image

    Issues with new stuff:

    image

    image

    image

    EROI is dropping as it is clear from charts below, it means that more and more of oil are going not to consumption, but to producing oil, so all this fancy bumps are, in fact, much worse :-)

    This leads to much quicker reduction of net energy available to people, check that happens with right part of bell curve:

    image

    And finally most important chart:

    image

    import-all.jpg
    620 x 640 - 141K
    shale.jpg
    640 x 438 - 121K
    us_oil.png
    863 x 703 - 47K
    oil.jpg
    585 x 393 - 36K
    Shale_Oil.jpg
    622 x 407 - 99K
    discoveries.png
    585 x 439 - 107K
    eroi_eroei_production.png
    585 x 439 - 91K
    500-us-oil-production.jpg
    1393 x 787 - 193K
    net.jpg
    680 x 469 - 36K
    expend.png
    680 x 408 - 70K
  • 2 Replies sorted by
  • stoneystoney

    I want a natural gas sedan. Then I would need to have a huge natural gas tank at my home. Then I would need to protect it. Then I would lose some sleep. But once the course is set, NG price will go up, too. Ok let me clean up my beat-up bike.

  • Vitaliy_KiselevVitaliy_Kiselev

    @stonebat

    Thi is not about your natural gas idea (gas prices in US require separate post, as price hike will be huge as tricks will cease to function).

    It is about total available energy for people. This value lies in foundations of problems you can see. It is also about your food and basic product prices and availability, as for each calorie of food you need to invest 6-10 calories of oil.

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